#298 Long COVID: A (somewhat) short summary of risks, symptoms, and natural course
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- Risk of Long Covid: Results vary by population/study design and definition.
- Solicited patient symptoms, 4 systematic reviews of observational studies: Patients reporting ≥1 symptom at ~60 days after Covid-19 diagnosis was 72%-80%.1-4
- Solicited symptoms, newer cohort studies: Patients reporting ≥1 symptom at ~60 days after Covid-19 diagnosis was 22%-44%.5-9
- Compared to 9%-20% of ‘control’ (non-covid) patients report ≥1 symptom (statistically different).5,6
- Seeking care for Long Covid: ~15% at ≤144 days.10
- Compared to ~9% of control patients and ~13% of patients with other past lower respiratory tract infections.
- Common symptoms: Four systematic reviews pooled results of 10-45 studies and 1,876-47,910 patients.1-4
- Most common symptoms at ~60 days are fatigue 40-58%, dyspnea 24-37%, anosmia 17-24%, memory loss/cognitive decline/confusion 7-28%, cough 14-19%, atypical chest pain/discomfort 13-24%, anxiety/depression 12-22%, headache 12-44%, insomnia/sleep troubles 11-29%, loss of taste 9-23%, general pain/discomfort/myalgia/joint pain 15-25%.
- Risk factors for Long Covid: Studies of predictors of Long Covid are inconsistent.
- Likely predictors (~2x higher risk): Female sex, more severe initial infections (or more initial symptoms), and increasing age.5,8,9,11
- Objective/imaging findings: Cannot clarify what findings precede Covid.
- MRI study in 201 severe (42% had ≥10 symptoms) Long Covid patients found inflammation of pancreas, liver or heart in 12-19% versus 0-6% of controls.12
- 177 previously hospitalized Covid patients (mean age 57, 62% male) with ≥1 symptom at 90-120 days.13
- Lung CT: 63% abnormal (ground glass 2/3 or fibrotic lesion 1/3).
- Cognition testing (example MoCa): 38% impaired (not defined).
- Effect of time:
- Newer cohorts: Patients followed at three time points:
- ≥1 symptom at 60 days=26%, 120 days=21%, 240 days=15%.6
- Individual symptoms (like dyspnea) follow similar patterns, example:
- Anosmia: 60 days=15%, 120 days=11%, 240 days=9%.
- Others find similar declines in symptoms over time, but longer studies required.2,5,7,11
- Newer cohorts: Patients followed at three time points:
- Children: Evidence is scant, but children likely have a lower risk of Long COVID.14
- Prolonged health issues can occur after other serious infections (example lower respiratory tract infections).9,10
- Guidance documents of Long COVID are growing.15-18
- Some 15,16 advise approaching work-up/management on individual primary symptom(s).
Female sex being higher risk was unexpected.
Hopefully I can encourage further vaccinations using this data
Timely
just in time
still mysterious disease