#10 Antioxidant Vitamin Cure-Alls: Will Good Theories Ever Die?
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- Focusing on high-quality RCTs:
- Antioxidants increased mortality with a Relative Risk (RR) of 1.04 (1.01-1.07), Number Needed to Harm (NNH)=238.
- Specifically:
- Beta-carotene (pro-vitamin A): RR 1.05 (1.01-1.09).
- Vitamin E: RR 1.03 (1.00-1.05).
- No statistically significant difference in mortality for:
- Vitamin A, all doses: RR 1.07 (0.97-1.18).
- High-dose vitamin A appears to increase mortality (p=0.002).
- High-dose not clearly defined, but appears to be >5000 IU.
- Vitamin C: RR 1.02 (0.98-1.07).
- Selenium: RR 0.97 (0.91-1.03).
- Vitamin A, all doses: RR 1.07 (0.97-1.18).
- If baseline mortality risk were around 10% over 3.5 years, about one in every 100 to 250 people taking antioxidants would die because of the supplements.
- Other meta-analyses report similar results. Examples:
- Antioxidant vitamins do not reduce the incidence of cardiovascular disease or cancer when taken for primary prevention.2
- Beta-carotene: Statistically significant increased mortality (NNH=167-326).2-4
- Vitamin E:
- No difference in mortality in 101,343 healthy individuals: RR 1.01 (0.98-1.04).2
- High-dose (>400 IU): Statistically significant increased mortality (NNH=257).5,6
- While theories and previous observational studies suggested potential benefit with antioxidant vitamins, this has been disproven by higher-level evidence.
- Theories of disease and treatment/prevention are common in medicine. We must guard against the superficial appeal of these theories and rely on evidence of benefit or harm to guide the care of our patients.